Inflation ticked slightly higher in May, maintaining pressure on American households and remaining above the Federal Reserve’s long-term target ahead of the central bank’s upcoming meeting. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the consumer price index (CPI), which tracks the average cost of essential goods such as gas, groceries, and rent, rose 0.1% from the previous month. On an annual basis, prices increased by 2.4%, slightly higher than April’s 2.3% pace.
These numbers came in just below economist expectations compiled by LSEG, signaling modest progress in curbing inflation. Core inflation, which removes the more unpredictable food and energy categories, also increased by 0.1% on the month and 2.8% compared to the year prior—both slightly under forecasts of 0.3% and 2.9%.
While the data suggests inflation may be stabilizing, it also reveals that price growth is still resilient, challenging the Federal Reserve’s efforts to steer inflation closer to its 2% benchmark. High inflation continues to weigh heavily on American consumers, especially lower-income households that are disproportionately affected by rising costs for essential items. These families, already stretched thin, often lack the savings buffer needed to absorb continued price hikes.
Food, Energy, and Shelter Prices Keep Pressure on Consumers
Food prices continued their steady climb, increasing 0.3% in May and 2.9% over the past year. The cost of groceries (the “food at home” index) and dining out (the “food away from home” index) both rose by 0.3% for the month, with annual increases of 2.2% and 3.8%, respectively. Egg prices saw a notable monthly drop of 2.7%, a continued correction after last year’s avian flu outbreak sent prices soaring 41.5% year over year. Other grocery categories showed mixed results: meats, poultry, and fish, along with dairy products, each dipped by 0.1% in May. In contrast, the fruits and vegetables index rose 0.3%, and cereals and bakery items spiked 1.1%.
Energy prices fell by 1% in May, following a 0.7% gain in April. Gasoline led the decline, dropping 2.6% for the month and 12% year over year. Meanwhile, electricity costs rose by 0.9% in May and are 4.5% higher than this time last year, reflecting ongoing volatility in the energy sector.
Shelter costs remained a key driver of overall inflation, climbing 0.3% in May and 3.9% over the past 12 months. Housing remains one of the most persistent sources of inflationary pressure in the U.S., contributing heavily to the CPI’s broader upward movement.
Transportation costs also declined in May, dipping 0.2%, though they remain 2.8% higher compared to a year ago. Airline fares dropped 2.7% for the month and are down 7.3% annually. However, motor vehicle insurance prices bucked the trend, rising 0.7% in May and climbing 7% over the past year.